Friday, March 20, 2009

IDR is Gaining this Week


As what I have predicted last week, the IDR support at 12000 level would be an ideal point for a reversal. IDR closed this week at 11.870 per dollar. The weakening of USD globally is triggered by the Fed plan to spend 1 trillion USD to buy corporate and government debt so that it would be able to reduce borrowing rate. In Indonesia, the JSX also gained this week as I already predicted due to the increasing demand from the foreign investors. The yield on Indonesia's 10 year bonds is arround 12% which is about 10% higher than USA bonds, hence investors are exchanging their USD to get a higher yield in IDR. With the risk appetite improving, I would expect the IDR to keep its strength relatively to USD for the coming week. Any other opinion ?

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